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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| rayvanmechelen | RN1 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 88% (2286–320, n=2606) | 47% (14348–15981, n=30329) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $32K | $14.8M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1000 | PM monthly #18 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 63% (15 of 24 open) | 59% (65 of 111 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 98% of 981 at avg 56¢, ROI +45% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 2% (won 95% of 21) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 32% (won 98% of 318) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 52% (won 98% of 506) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 14% (won 98% of 136) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | rayvanmechelen | RN1 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-11-03? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $10 | Yes $26K | — |
| Villa Maria: Alan Magadan vs Valerio Aboian opposite sides · consensus Valerio Aboian | Alan Magadan $3 | Valerio Aboian $8.0K | — |
| Cali: Rebeka Masarova vs Alice Tubello opposite sides · consensus Alice Tubello | Alice Tubello $9 | Rebeka Masarova $15 | — |