Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241rayvanmechelenRN1sainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)56% (101–79, n=180)88% (2286–320, n=2606)47% (14348–15981, n=30329)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL$3.5M$32K$14.8M$4.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #373PM monthly #1000PM monthly #18 + pinnedwas PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position59% (17 of 29 open)62% (112 of 182 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
  • Soccer +42 pts n=902, ROI +45%
  • NBA +51 pts n=18, ROI +50%
  • Tennis +46 pts n=22, ROI +43%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%98% of 981 at avg 56¢, ROI +45%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 75% of 8)2% (won 95% of 21)10% (won 57% of 2606)0%
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 93% of 29)32% (won 98% of 318)22% (won 94% of 5665)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢42% (won 96% of 47)52% (won 98% of 506)36% (won 99% of 9185)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 96% of 27)14% (won 98% of 136)32% (won 100% of 8345)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241rayvanmechelenRN1sainttroplay
Villa Maria: Alan Magadan vs Valerio Aboian
opposite sides · consensus Valerio Aboian
—Alan Magadan $3Valerio Aboian $8.0K—
Mushuc Runa SC vs. Manta FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $10Over $3.6K—
Costa do Sauipe: Filip Misolic vs Juan Pablo Varillas
opposite sides · consensus Filip Misolic
—Filip Misolic $10Juan Pablo Varillas $596—
Will Mansfield Town FC win on 2026-10-03?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $403Yes $3—
Cali: Rebeka Masarova vs Alice Tubello
opposite sides · consensus Alice Tubello
—Alice Tubello $9Rebeka Masarova $15—
Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $10Under $7—
Huddersfield Town AFC vs. Luton Town FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $10Over $3—
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-11-03?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $6No $644—