← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| primm | randomrandomrandom | RN1 | S-Works | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (1248–1261, n=2509) | no settled market | 48% (17938–19366, n=37304) | 75% (2542–853, n=3395) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.6M | — | $14.9M | $3.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #46 | PM monthly #974 | PM monthly #32 + pinned | PM monthly #48 |
| Sides with the consensus | 78% (7 of 9 open) | 0% (0 of 3 open) | 56% (27 of 48 open) | 50% (4 of 8 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| not computed yet |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | Crypto −1 pts, n=46 |
| Settled positions, side won | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | — | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 5% (won 94% of 51) | — | 10% (won 57% of 2594) | 6% (won 14% of 145) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 41% (won 99% of 421) | — | 22% (won 94% of 5704) | 16% (won 48% of 367) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 49% (won 99% of 508) | — | 35% (won 99% of 9204) | 23% (won 60% of 509) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 5% (won 100% of 47) | — | 33% (won 100% of 8622) | 55% (won 96% of 1235) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | primm | randomrandomrandom | RN1 | S-Works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 52.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $12K | — | Under $2.0K | — |
| Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 46.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $19K | — | Over $10K | — |
| Spread: Bears (-13.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | Buccaneers $7.5K | — | Buccaneers $13K | — |
| Spread: Bears (-14.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | Buccaneers $89 | — | Buccaneers $2.4K | — |