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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
primmRN1testest10
Record (consensus markets)50% (1116–1127, n=2243)47% (14240–15745, n=29985)39% (7–11, n=18)
Consensus PnL$3.6M$14.8M$17K
Tracked asPM monthly #51PM monthly #30 + pinnedPM monthly #415
Sides with the consensus70% (21 of 30 open)62% (111 of 180 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 8 at avg 67¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2588)0%
Entries 30–50¢41% (won 99% of 418)22% (won 94% of 5673)25% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 50–70¢49% (won 99% of 504)35% (won 99% of 9163)13% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8536)63% (won 100% of 5)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketprimmRN1testest10
South Florida vs. East Carolina
opposite sides · consensus South Florida
South Florida $39East Carolina $26K—
New Mexico vs. Nevada
opposite sides · consensus New Mexico
Nevada $7.4KNew Mexico $2.3K—
Spread: South Florida (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus South Florida
South Florida $3.7KEast Carolina $3.5K—
Spread: Nebraska (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Illinois
Nebraska $2.0KIllinois $1.2K—
Spread: Nebraska (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Illinois
Nebraska $2.1KIllinois $876—
Virginia Tech vs. SMU: O/U 59.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1.4KUnder $1.5K—
Spread: New Mexico (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus New Mexico
Nevada $1.3KNew Mexico $1.4K—
South Florida vs. East Carolina: O/U 43.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.3KOver $1.2K—
Spread: South Florida (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus East Carolina
South Florida $416East Carolina $1.5K—
Spread: Illinois (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nebraska
Nebraska $1.3KIllinois $513—
Spread: South Florida (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus East Carolina
South Florida $324East Carolina $1.0K—
Spread: SMU (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech
Virginia Tech $381SMU $416—
Spread: Nebraska (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Illinois
Illinois $91Nebraska $278—
Spread: SMU (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus SMU
Virginia Tech $189SMU $114—
Virginia Tech vs. SMU: O/U 67.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.7KUnder $4.7K—
Spread: SMU (-10.5)
same side · consensus Virginia Tech
Virginia Tech $3.5KVirginia Tech $1.7K—
Spread: SMU (-6.5)
same side · consensus SMU
SMU $2.8KSMU $1.2K—
New Mexico vs. Nevada: O/U 43.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $1.7KOver $489—
Virginia Tech vs. SMU: O/U 61.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $646Over $1.2K—
Spread: SMU (-7.5)
same side · consensus Virginia Tech
Virginia Tech $5Virginia Tech $1.1K—
New Mexico vs. Nevada: O/U 41.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $164Over $42—
Spread: East Carolina (-5.5)
same side · consensus South Florida
South Florida $4South Florida $181—
Spread: SMU (-4.5)
same side · consensus SMU
SMU $3SMU $122—