PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
poshposhrabadabadooRN10x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188
Record (consensus markets)no settled market62% (13737–8492, n=22229)49% (9610–10110, n=19720)47% (125–143, n=268)
Consensus PnL—$15K$13.3M$19.3M
Tracked asPM monthly #999was PM monthly #981Hand-pickedwas PM monthly #715
Sides with the consensus64% (9 of 14 open)no open consensus position53% (17 of 32 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Crypto +32 pts n=7099, ROI +24%
  • NHL +5 pts n=186, ROI +6%
Weakest topic———College Basketball −12 pts, n=163
Settled positions, side won—85% of 7099 at avg 53¢, ROI +24%93% of 20810 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%50% of 1273 at avg 50¢, ROI −2%
Entries under 30¢—3% (won 17% of 210)10% (won 53% of 2181)0% (won 0% of 5)
Entries 30–50¢—23% (won 82% of 1610)22% (won 94% of 4645)42% (won 47% of 535)
Entries 50–70¢—71% (won 88% of 5012)37% (won 99% of 7657)57% (won 51% of 729)
Entries 70¢ and up—4% (won 96% of 267)30% (won 100% of 6327)0% (won 100% of 4)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketposhposhrabadabadooRN10x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188
Wild vs. Canucks
opposite sides · consensus Wild
Wild $198—Canucks $17Wild $48K
CF América vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $64—Over $73—
Spread: Wild (-1.5)
same side · consensus Canucks
Wild $29——Wild $29K
Seoul: Yeonsu Jeong vs Yunseong Chung
same side · consensus Yunseong Chung
Yunseong Chung $132—Yunseong Chung $7.1K—
Seoul: Koki Matsuda vs Beibit Zhukayev
same side · consensus Beibit Zhukayev
Koki Matsuda $2.8K—Koki Matsuda $3.1K—
Will CF América win on 2026-10-25?
same side · consensus No
No $76—No $3.9K—
CD Tolima vs. AD Pasto: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $88—Over $1.2K—