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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market49% (1224–1251, n=2475)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)
Consensus PnL-$152$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #987PM monthly #67PM monthly #34 + pinned
Sides with the consensus43% (3 of 7 open)56% (5 of 9 open)54% (26 of 48 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won—99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢—41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢—49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up—5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketovertimemarkets.xyz-singlesprimmRN1
Hawai'i vs. UTEP
opposite sides · consensus Hawai'i
—Hawai'i $6.1KUTEP $5.4K
Spread: Texas Tech (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Texas Tech
—West Virginia $953Texas Tech $830
Spread: Texas Tech (-15.5)
opposite sides · consensus Texas Tech
—West Virginia $138Texas Tech $317
Wyoming vs. UNLV
same side · consensus Wyoming
Wyoming $200Wyoming $25K—
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $139—No $10K
Texas State vs. Oregon State: O/U 69.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $200Over $3.0K—