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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| omnibus-076daa | RN1 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (13588–13717, n=27305) | 48% (12104–12931, n=25035) | 45% (514–627, n=1141) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.5M | $13.4M | $10.4M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #16 | PM monthly #14 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 54% (26 of 48 open) | 64% (7 of 11 open) | 69% (27 of 39 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 91% of 10639 at avg 60¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 23969 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 8% (won 59% of 860) | 10% (won 56% of 2478) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 21% (won 86% of 2252) | 22% (won 94% of 5361) | 35% (won 98% of 181) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 39% (won 94% of 4102) | 36% (won 99% of 8705) | 34% (won 99% of 176) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 32% (won 99% of 3425) | 31% (won 100% of 7425) | 20% (won 100% of 105) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | omnibus-076daa | RN1 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs opposite sides · consensus MOUZ | MOUZ $66K | Aurora Gaming $8.5K | — | — |
| Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Magda Linette opposite sides · consensus Lilli Tagger | Magda Linette $23 | Lilli Tagger $8.0K | — | — |
| Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) opposite sides · consensus Aurora Gaming | MOUZ $100 | Aurora Gaming $6.5K | — | — |
| M25 Sheffield: Roan Jones vs Viktor Durasovic opposite sides · consensus Viktor Durasovic | Viktor Durasovic $57 | Roan Jones $199 | — | — |
| W75 Glasgow: Amelia Rajecki vs Ella Seidel same side · consensus Ella Seidel | Ella Seidel $1.1K | Ella Seidel $2.1K | — | — |