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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
nigiri99Secondhandvinyl
Record (consensus markets)54% (338–285, n=623)91% (161–15, n=176)
Consensus PnL$411K$947
Tracked asPM monthly #112PM monthly #979
Sides with the consensus53% (71 of 134 open)100% (3 of 3 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +21 pts n=68, ROI +6%
  • NBA +11 pts n=259, ROI +11%
  • Soccer +14 pts n=53, ROI +28%
Weakest topic——
Settled positions, side won66% of 520 at avg 53¢, ROI +5%100% of 163 at avg 91¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢14% (won 33% of 73)1% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 56% of 125)1% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 50–70¢43% (won 69% of 226)3% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up18% (won 98% of 96)94% (won 100% of 154)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketnigiri99Secondhandvinyl
Will Guatemala win on 2026-11-13?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $62No $1.0K
Will Canada win on 2026-11-13?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $27KYes $930