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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| googleplay | nigiri99 | Secondhandvinyl | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (6–6, n=12) | 54% (338–285, n=623) | 91% (161–15, n=176) |
| Consensus PnL | $423K | $411K | $947 |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #20 | PM monthly #105 | PM monthly #981 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (1 of 2 open) | 53% (69 of 129 open) | 100% (4 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 6 at avg 51¢, ROI +49% | 66% of 520 at avg 53¢, ROI +5% | 100% of 163 at avg 91¢, ROI +6% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 14% (won 33% of 73) | 1% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 17% (won 100% of 1) | 24% (won 56% of 125) | 1% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 83% (won 100% of 5) | 43% (won 69% of 226) | 3% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 18% (won 98% of 96) | 94% (won 100% of 154) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | googleplay | nigiri99 | Secondhandvinyl |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Guatemala win on 2026-11-13? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $36 | No $1.0K |
| Spread: Hawks (-6.5) same side · consensus Hawks | Hawks $179K | Hawks $8.2K | — |
| Will Canada win on 2026-11-13? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $27K | Yes $943 |
| Spread: Rockets (-15.5) same side · consensus Jazz | Rockets $11K | Rockets $48 | — |