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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ndb1 | pIebe | primm | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) | 70% (715–305, n=1020) | 50% (1127–1147, n=2274) | 50% (20622–20404, n=41026) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.8M | $1.1M | $3.6M | $3.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #94 | PM monthly #199 + pinned | PM monthly #51 | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (55 of 78 open) | 79% (128 of 163 open) | 63% (12 of 19 open) | 70% (31 of 44 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NFL −9 pts, n=144 | Mentions −13 pts, n=20 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 71% of 944 at avg 70¢, ROI +3% | 99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 15% of 186) | 22% (won 6% of 204) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 7% (won 99% of 2699) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 39% of 267) | 6% (won 47% of 55) | 41% (won 99% of 418) | 20% (won 100% of 7974) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 23% (won 58% of 326) | 6% (won 52% of 56) | 49% (won 99% of 504) | 22% (won 100% of 8588) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 44% (won 94% of 619) | 67% (won 96% of 629) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 52% (won 100% of 20470) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ndb1 | pIebe | primm | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $54K | No $10 | — | — |