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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ndb1RN1ThanksGivingTurkey1001
Record (consensus markets)63% (993–578, n=1571)48% (14338–15838, n=30176)69% (242–108, n=350)
Consensus PnL$4.8M$14.8M$68K
Tracked asPM monthly #94PM monthly #28 + pinnedPM monthly #201
Sides with the consensus70% (55 of 79 open)52% (26 of 50 open)82% (32 of 39 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicNFL −8 pts, n=147—Crypto ±0 pts, n=132
Settled positions, side won64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%76% of 340 at avg 73¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 14% of 187)10% (won 57% of 2588)11% (won 23% of 39)
Entries 30–50¢19% (won 39% of 269)22% (won 94% of 5673)11% (won 46% of 37)
Entries 50–70¢23% (won 57% of 328)35% (won 99% of 9163)9% (won 67% of 30)
Entries 70¢ and up44% (won 94% of 622)33% (won 100% of 8536)69% (won 91% of 234)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketndb1RN1ThanksGivingTurkey1001
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $87K—No $3.4K