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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ndb1 | primm | RN1 | ThanksGivingTurkey1001 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 63% (992–576, n=1568) | 50% (1116–1127, n=2243) | 48% (14167–15640, n=29807) | 69% (242–108, n=350) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.8M | $3.6M | $14.8M | $69K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #96 | PM monthly #53 | PM monthly #31 + pinned | PM monthly #197 |
| Sides with the consensus | 69% (52 of 75 open) | no open consensus position | 61% (22 of 36 open) | 82% (32 of 39 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NFL −9 pts, n=144 | — | — | Crypto ±0 pts, n=132 |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 76% of 340 at avg 73¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 15% of 186) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) | 11% (won 23% of 39) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 39% of 267) | 41% (won 99% of 418) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) | 11% (won 46% of 37) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 23% (won 58% of 326) | 49% (won 99% of 504) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) | 9% (won 67% of 30) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 44% (won 94% of 619) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) | 69% (won 91% of 234) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ndb1 | primm | RN1 | ThanksGivingTurkey1001 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $87K | — | — | No $3.4K |