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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026ndb1RN1ThanksGivingTurkey1001
Record (consensus markets)35% (3635–6656, n=10291)66% (901–474, n=1375)47% (13863–15370, n=29233)69% (240–108, n=348)
Consensus PnL$3.0M$4.5M$14.8M$68K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #772PM monthly #100PM monthly #29 + pinnedPM monthly #195
Sides with the consensus60% (6 of 10 open)73% (110 of 151 open)50% (14 of 28 open)78% (29 of 37 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—NFL −9 pts, n=139——
Settled positions, side won—64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%76% of 334 at avg 73¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢—13% (won 15% of 168)10% (won 57% of 2538)12% (won 23% of 39)
Entries 30–50¢—20% (won 39% of 256)22% (won 94% of 5565)11% (won 46% of 37)
Entries 50–70¢—24% (won 58% of 314)36% (won 99% of 9017)9% (won 67% of 30)
Entries 70¢ and up—43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 100% of 8250)68% (won 91% of 228)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026ndb1RN1ThanksGivingTurkey1001
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.6K—Over $1.5K—
Taipei: Harold Mayot vs Sho Shimabukuro
opposite sides · consensus Harold Mayot
Sho Shimabukuro $23—Harold Mayot $118—
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
—No $87K—No $3.4K
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Elena Pridankina vs Alexandra Shubladze
same side · consensus Alexandra Shubladze
Alexandra Shubladze $7.1K—Alexandra Shubladze $1.6K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.3K—Over $360—