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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| ndb1 | NM-P | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 63% (990–573, n=1563) | 83% (5437–1150, n=6587) | 47% (14161–15670, n=29831) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.6M | $47K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #92 | PM monthly #509 | PM monthly #32 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 73% (53 of 73 open) | 68% (45 of 66 open) | 50% (16 of 32 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 100% of 4086 at avg 68¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 6% (won 100% of 256) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 21% (won 100% of 859) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 22% (won 100% of 884) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 51% (won 100% of 2087) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ndb1 | NM-P | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Warriors (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | — | Heat $279 | Warriors $510 |
| Spread: James Madison (-13.5) same side · consensus James Madison | — | Southern Miss $172 | Southern Miss $832 |
| Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $169 | Under $338 |