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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | nigiri99 | yalibb | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 48% (665–719, n=1384) | 53% (513–456, n=969) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | $856K | $592K | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #54 | PM monthly #683 |
| Sides with the consensus | 39% (11 of 28 open) | 51% (24 of 47 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| not computed yet |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 422 at avg 52¢, ROI +45% | 74% of 676 at avg 54¢, ROI +8% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 5% (won 100% of 23) | 12% (won 40% of 83) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 34% (won 100% of 145) | 23% (won 65% of 158) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 52% (won 100% of 219) | 44% (won 77% of 300) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 8% (won 100% of 35) | 20% (won 99% of 135) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | nigiri99 | yalibb |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Utah (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Arizona | Utah $11K | Arizona $1.9K | — |
| Spread: North Dakota State (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Hawai'i | Hawai'i $2.1K | North Dakota State $169 | — |
| Spread: Arizona (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Utah | Arizona $6 | Utah $503 | — |
| Spread: North Dakota State (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus North Dakota State | Hawai'i $152 | North Dakota State $138 | — |
| Utah vs. Arizona same side · consensus Arizona | Utah $68K | Utah $21K | — |
| Spread: Utah (-2.5) same side · consensus Utah | Utah $1.9K | Utah $199 | — |