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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
keeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99VirIntrepidusyalibb
Record (consensus markets)48% (665–719, n=1384)53% (513–456, n=969)88% (15–2, n=17)no settled market
Consensus PnL$856K$592K$475K—
Tracked asPM monthly #14PM monthly #54PM monthly #58PM monthly #683
Sides with the consensus56% (9 of 16 open)50% (21 of 42 open)40% (2 of 5 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 422 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%74% of 676 at avg 54¢, ROI +8%100% of 3 at avg 63¢, ROI +16%—
Entries under 30¢5% (won 100% of 23)12% (won 40% of 83)33% (won 100% of 1)—
Entries 30–50¢34% (won 100% of 145)23% (won 65% of 158)0%—
Entries 50–70¢52% (won 100% of 219)44% (won 77% of 300)0%—
Entries 70¢ and up8% (won 100% of 35)20% (won 99% of 135)67% (won 100% of 2)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketkeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99VirIntrepidusyalibb
Spread: Packers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Packers
—Packers $2.4KVikings $7.1K—
Spread: Lions (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lions
—Patriots $6.0KLions $1.6K—
Spread: North Dakota State (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawai'i
Hawai'i $2.1KNorth Dakota State $169——
Spread: North Dakota State (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus North Dakota State
Hawai'i $152North Dakota State $138——