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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| joseph00677 | primm | RN1 | skadii | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 49% (1224–1251, n=2475) | 48% (18678–20261, n=38939) | 44% (192–243, n=435) |
| Consensus PnL | $5.3M | $3.6M | $14.8M | -$29K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #52 | PM monthly #32 + pinned | PM monthly #213 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 50% (3 of 6 open) | 66% (21 of 32 open) | 80% (4 of 5 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
| none with 10+ settled |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 46% of 363 at avg 46¢, ROI −3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) | 27% (won 14% of 98) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) | 31% (won 42% of 112) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) | 26% (won 66% of 96) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) | 16% (won 77% of 57) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | joseph00677 | primm | RN1 | skadii |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Texas Tech (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Texas Tech | — | West Virginia $953 | Texas Tech $830 | — |
| Spread: Texas Tech (-15.5) opposite sides · consensus Texas Tech | — | West Virginia $138 | Texas Tech $317 | — |
| Wyoming vs. UNLV same side · consensus Wyoming | — | Wyoming $33K | Wyoming $19K | — |
| Texas State vs. Oregon State same side · consensus Texas State | — | Texas State $20K | Texas State $9.6K | — |