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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ifyoulovemejoseph00677omnibus-076daaRN1
Record (consensus markets)55% (309–251, n=560)53% (10–9, n=19)50% (15178–15196, n=30374)47% (13369–14864, n=28233)
Consensus PnL$32K$5.6M$3.1M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #609PM monthly #3PM monthly #59PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus56% (18 of 32 open)no open consensus position50% (63 of 126 open)54% (85 of 157 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tech +12 pts n=91, ROI +9%
  • Politics +8 pts n=32, ROI +3%
  • NFL +3 pts n=46, ROI −1%
Weakest topicGeopolitics ±0 pts, n=86———
Settled positions, side won51% of 495 at avg 48¢, ROI +1%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢38% (won 14% of 187)12% (won 0% of 2)8% (won 60% of 874)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 51% of 77)6% (won 0% of 1)21% (won 87% of 2384)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 59% of 79)65% (won 73% of 11)38% (won 95% of 4296)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up31% (won 91% of 152)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 99% of 3716)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

11 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketifyoulovemejoseph00677omnibus-076daaRN1
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $58—No $9.9K—
Will Millonarios FC win on 2026-11-03?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $1.1KNo $5.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.6KOver $1.5K
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $296—No $19—
Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $3Under $169
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $151—Yes $4—
Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $22Over $112
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $586—Yes $2.3K—
Millonarios FC vs. América de Cali: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $96Under $2.4K
Spread: UMass (-2.5)
same side · consensus Ball State
——UMass $540UMass $1.0K
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $185—Yes $1.3K—
Spread: Lakers (-11.5)
same side · consensus Kings
——Lakers $619Lakers $3
Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $28Under $147
Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
——Pelicans $4Pelicans $135
Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
——Pelicans $3Pelicans $125
Spread: Central Michigan (-13.5)
same side · consensus Central Michigan
——Eastern Michigan $82Eastern Michigan $4
Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $69Under $7
Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
——Suns $2Suns $6