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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ianf2026 | RN1 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | omnibus-076daa | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 61% (78–50, n=128) | 48% (11699–12466, n=24165) | 56% (100–79, n=179) | 50% (13180–13328, n=26508) |
| Consensus PnL | $45K | $13.4M | $3.5M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #641 | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #373 | PM monthly #16 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 63% (10 of 16 open) | no open consensus position | 50% (6 of 12 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 84% of 92 at avg 49¢, ROI +39% | 94% of 23802 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 91% of 10062 at avg 60¢, ROI +31% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 0% of 1) | 10% (won 56% of 2460) | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 8% (won 58% of 836) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 51% (won 81% of 47) | 22% (won 94% of 5332) | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 21% (won 85% of 2138) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 48% (won 89% of 44) | 36% (won 99% of 8653) | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 38% (won 94% of 3846) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 31% (won 100% of 7357) | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 32% (won 99% of 3242) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ianf2026 | RN1 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | omnibus-076daa |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pan Pacific Open: Naomi Osaka vs Jasmine Paolini opposite sides · consensus Naomi Osaka | — | Naomi Osaka $9.4K | — | Jasmine Paolini $119 |
| Guangzhou Open: Polina Kudermetova vs Janice Tjen opposite sides · consensus Janice Tjen | — | Polina Kudermetova $1.8K | — | Janice Tjen $3 |
| Pan Pacific Open: Tereza Valentova vs Mia Pohankova same side · consensus Mia Pohankova | — | Mia Pohankova $16K | — | Mia Pohankova $3.3K |
| Will Borneo Samarinda win on 2026-10-28? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $7 | — | Yes $44 |