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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| googleplay | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | MurkSniper | nigiri99 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (6–6, n=12) | 48% (483–517, n=1000) | 72% (31–12, n=43) | 55% (372–304, n=676) |
| Consensus PnL | $423K | $455K | $6.2K | $436K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #34 | PM monthly #21 | PM monthly #988 | PM monthly #89 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 65% (11 of 17 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 51% (37 of 73 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| not computed yet | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 6 at avg 51¢, ROI +49% | 100% of 301 at avg 51¢, ROI +44% | — | 66% of 520 at avg 53¢, ROI +5% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 6% (won 100% of 19) | — | 14% (won 33% of 73) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 17% (won 100% of 1) | 37% (won 100% of 110) | — | 24% (won 56% of 125) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 83% (won 100% of 5) | 50% (won 100% of 150) | — | 43% (won 69% of 226) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 7% (won 100% of 22) | — | 18% (won 98% of 96) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | googleplay | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | MurkSniper | nigiri99 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kraken vs. Hurricanes opposite sides · consensus Hurricanes | — | Hurricanes $33K | — | Kraken $57 |
| Spread: Houston (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Houston | — | Colorado $3.6K | — | Houston $547 |
| Spread: Houston (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Houston | — | Colorado $871 | — | Houston $3.0K |
| Nebraska vs. Rutgers: O/U 51.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $3.4K | — | Under $202 |
| Brisbane 3: Juncheng Shang vs Christian Langmo opposite sides · consensus Christian Langmo | — | — | Juncheng Shang $592 | Christian Langmo $40 |
| Spread: Houston (-9.5) same side · consensus Colorado | — | Houston $31 | — | Houston $4.4K |