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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026Flaznorpndb1notfairplay
Record (consensus markets)43% (11761–15331, n=27092)55% (13298–10666, n=23964)63% (1101–635, n=1736)19% (118–492, n=610)
Consensus PnL-$9.4M$1.4M$4.6M-$3.9K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #14PM monthly #110was PM monthly #752
Sides with the consensus58% (7 of 12 open)69% (95 of 138 open)71% (67 of 95 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—NFL −24 pts, n=12NFL −7 pts, n=158Crypto −6 pts, n=572
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2%19% of 572 at avg 25¢, ROI −9%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)30% (won 9% of 919)13% (won 14% of 196)67% (won 7% of 385)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)15% (won 37% of 455)18% (won 40% of 283)21% (won 34% of 118)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)14% (won 63% of 439)23% (won 58% of 348)10% (won 56% of 57)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)42% (won 94% of 1302)46% (won 94% of 710)2% (won 92% of 12)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026Flaznorpndb1notfairplay
Hersonissos 3: Vladyslav Orlov vs Lorenzo Angelini
opposite sides · consensus Lorenzo Angelini
Vladyslav Orlov $1.1KLorenzo Angelini $4.4K——
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $148Yes $2.7K——
Hersonissos 3: Nikita Mashtakov vs Adrian Andreev
same side · consensus Adrian Andreev
Adrian Andreev $14KAdrian Andreev $4.3K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2KUnder $13K——
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Ugo Humbert
same side · consensus Ugo Humbert
Ugo Humbert $7.1KUgo Humbert $591——
Hersonissos 3: Alexandre Reco vs Lorenzo Carboni
same side · consensus Lorenzo Carboni
Lorenzo Carboni $26Lorenzo Carboni $1.8K——