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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026Flaznorpndb1S-Works
Record (consensus markets)43% (11439–14898, n=26337)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)64% (1097–630, n=1727)75% (2546–856, n=3402)
Consensus PnL$3.1M$4.1M$4.8M$3.7M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #11PM monthly #92PM monthly #72
Sides with the consensus70% (14 of 20 open)65% (99 of 152 open)72% (108 of 150 open)67% (2 of 3 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL −8 pts, n=147Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 403)13% (won 14% of 187)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 38% of 228)19% (won 39% of 269)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢—15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 57% of 328)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up—40% (won 94% of 553)44% (won 94% of 622)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026Flaznorpndb1S-Works
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $151Yes $2.7K——
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $985No $18K—
Texas State vs. Oregon State
same side · consensus Texas State
Texas State $17KTexas State $420——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2.2KUnder $13K——
West Virginia vs. Texas Tech
same side · consensus Texas Tech
West Virginia $8.4KWest Virginia $108——
Hawai'i vs. UTEP
same side · consensus Hawai'i
Hawai'i $6.8KHawai'i $470——