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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ferrariChampions2026 | Flaznorp | machbut | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 43% (11774–15353, n=27127) | 55% (13343–10705, n=24048) | 61% (23–15, n=38) | 63% (1101–635, n=1736) |
| Consensus PnL | -$9.5M | $1.4M | $34K | $4.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #87 | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #937 | PM monthly #109 |
| Sides with the consensus | 69% (9 of 13 open) | 65% (77 of 118 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) | 70% (67 of 96 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled |
|
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −24 pts, n=12 | — | NFL −7 pts, n=158 |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8% | 56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22% | 74% of 34 at avg 72¢, ROI +3% | 66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 97% of 237) | 30% (won 9% of 919) | 9% (won 0% of 3) | 13% (won 14% of 196) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 100% of 1446) | 15% (won 37% of 455) | 15% (won 40% of 5) | 18% (won 40% of 283) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 40% (won 100% of 2198) | 14% (won 63% of 439) | 18% (won 67% of 6) | 23% (won 58% of 348) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 100% of 1675) | 42% (won 94% of 1302) | 59% (won 95% of 20) | 46% (won 94% of 710) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ferrariChampions2026 | Flaznorp | machbut | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Ugo Blanchet opposite sides · consensus Ugo Blanchet | Ugo Blanchet $3.7K | Buvaysar Gadamauri $5.8K | — | — |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | No $141 | Yes $2.8K | — | — |
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open: James Duckworth vs Cameron Norrie same side · consensus Cameron Norrie | Cameron Norrie $15K | Cameron Norrie $9.0K | — | — |
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann same side · consensus Alex Michelsen | Alex Michelsen $13K | Alex Michelsen $4.7K | — | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $1.2K | Under $13K | — | — |
| Orleans: Edas Butvilas vs Cosme Rolland De Ravel same side · consensus Cosme Rolland De Ravel | Cosme Rolland De Ravel $9.9K | Cosme Rolland De Ravel $329 | — | — |