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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026Flaznorpjoseph00677locuspm
Record (consensus markets)43% (11687–15248, n=26935)55% (13164–10557, n=23721)43% (10–13, n=23)16% (653–3337, n=3990)
Consensus PnL-$9.5M$1.9M$3.2M$55K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #14PM monthly #7was PM monthly #864
Sides with the consensus71% (5 of 7 open)72% (92 of 128 open)no open consensus position100% (4 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • NHL +3 pts n=15, ROI −1%
  • Soccer +2 pts n=25, ROI −22%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—NFL ±0 pts, n=76
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%11% of 1157 at avg 11¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)89% (won 1% of 1029)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)0% (won 40% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)1% (won 67% of 9)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)10% (won 98% of 114)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026Flaznorpjoseph00677locuspm
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $148Yes $2.7K——
Matsuyama: Sho Katayama vs Shintaro Imai
opposite sides · consensus Shintaro Imai
Sho Katayama $75Shintaro Imai $1.3K——
WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
same side · consensus Coco Gauff
Coco Gauff $71KCoco Gauff $3.1K——
Matsuyama: Keisuke Saitoh vs Renta Tokuda
same side · consensus Keisuke Saitoh
Keisuke Saitoh $31KKeisuke Saitoh $5.5K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2KUnder $13K——