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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ferrariChampions2026 | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | KnightDasCapital | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 43% (11779–15353, n=27132) | 55% (13333–10716, n=24049) | 43% (10–13, n=23) | 53% (12782–11297, n=24079) |
| Consensus PnL | -$9.5M | $1.4M | $3.2M | $107K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #87 | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #7 | was PM monthly #1000 |
| Sides with the consensus | 56% (5 of 9 open) | 66% (143 of 218 open) | no open consensus position | 25% (1 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
| none with 10+ settled |
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −24 pts, n=12 | — | Soccer ±0 pts, n=7349 |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8% | 56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 52% of 8639 at avg 52¢, ROI +1% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 97% of 237) | 30% (won 9% of 919) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 19% (won 17% of 1603) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 100% of 1446) | 15% (won 37% of 455) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 28% (won 40% of 2386) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 40% (won 100% of 2198) | 14% (won 63% of 439) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 28% (won 59% of 2425) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 100% of 1675) | 42% (won 94% of 1302) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 26% (won 82% of 2225) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ferrariChampions2026 | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | KnightDasCapital |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $14K | — | Yes $250 |
| Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady opposite sides · consensus Billy Harris | Liam Broady $2.0K | Billy Harris $1.7K | — | — |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | No $146 | Yes $2.8K | — | — |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Hornets | Cavaliers $1.5K | Hornets $169 | — | — |
| Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.2K | — | Yes $4 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $1.2K | Under $12K | — | — |
| Grizzlies vs. Raptors: O/U 231.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $5.8K | Over $88 | — | — |
| Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.7K | — | No $402 |