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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
fantasy7788MurkSnipernigiri99robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
Record (consensus markets)54% (13–11, n=24)72% (31–12, n=43)55% (372–304, n=676)63% (48–28, n=76)
Consensus PnL$590K$6.2K$436K$1.0M
Tracked asPM monthly #37PM monthly #988PM monthly #89PM monthly #15 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position0% (0 of 1 open)51% (37 of 73 open)60% (6 of 10 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NHL +21 pts n=68, ROI +6%
  • NBA +11 pts n=259, ROI +11%
  • Soccer +14 pts n=53, ROI +28%
  • NBA +45 pts n=29, ROI +40%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 13 at avg 47¢, ROI +54%—66% of 520 at avg 53¢, ROI +5%100% of 39 at avg 57¢, ROI +38%
Entries under 30¢8% (won 100% of 1)—14% (won 33% of 73)3% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢54% (won 100% of 7)—24% (won 56% of 125)33% (won 100% of 13)
Entries 50–70¢31% (won 100% of 4)—43% (won 69% of 226)44% (won 100% of 17)
Entries 70¢ and up8% (won 100% of 1)—18% (won 98% of 96)21% (won 100% of 8)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketfantasy7788MurkSnipernigiri99robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus MOUZ
——Spirit $398MOUZ $118K
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus Gen.G
——Bilibili Gaming $1.1KGen.G $95K
Brisbane 3: Juncheng Shang vs Christian Langmo
opposite sides · consensus Christian Langmo
—Juncheng Shang $592Christian Langmo $40—
Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. UNCW Seahawks
same side · consensus Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns
——Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns $333KLouisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns $209K
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs
same side · consensus Team Falcons
——Team Falcons $985Team Falcons $135K
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5)
same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming
——Gen.G $241Gen.G $43K