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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
fantasy7788HomeRunHazardplsgodsavemeVirIntrepidus
Record (consensus markets)55% (24–20, n=44)52% (594–553, n=1147)33% (2–4, n=6)90% (18–2, n=20)
Consensus PnL$829K$398K-$1.5K$530K
Tracked asPM monthly #20PM monthly #10was PM monthly #684PM monthly #44
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)70% (72 of 103 open)no open consensus position60% (3 of 5 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NBA +51 pts n=15, ROI +40%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 23 at avg 47¢, ROI +53%100% of 317 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%80% of 5 at avg 40¢, ROI +21%100% of 15 at avg 49¢, ROI +40%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 100% of 1)2% (won 100% of 6)20% (won 0% of 1)13% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢61% (won 100% of 14)32% (won 100% of 100)60% (won 100% of 3)40% (won 100% of 6)
Entries 50–70¢30% (won 100% of 7)60% (won 100% of 189)20% (won 100% of 1)33% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up4% (won 100% of 1)7% (won 100% of 22)0%13% (won 100% of 2)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketfantasy7788HomeRunHazardplsgodsavemeVirIntrepidus
49ers vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus 49ers
—49ers $25K—Cowboys $283
Spread: 49ers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus 49ers
—49ers $7.2K—Cowboys $239
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
—Seahawks $20K—Seahawks $58K
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)
same side · consensus Seahawks
—Seahawks $300—Seahawks $4.2K