Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
fantasy7788Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghightian888
Record (consensus markets)50% (9–9, n=18)74% (1379–477, n=1856)45% (317–381, n=698)no settled market
Consensus PnL$435K$296K$248K—
Tracked asPM monthly #41PM monthly #19PM monthly #31PM monthly #807
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position67% (127 of 190 open)50% (14 of 28 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednot computed yet
Weakest topic—College Basketball −3 pts, n=123——
Settled positions, side won100% of 10 at avg 48¢, ROI +54%48% of 490 at avg 48¢, ROI 0%100% of 228 at avg 51¢, ROI +47%—
Entries under 30¢10% (won 100% of 1)32% (won 5% of 159)7% (won 100% of 15)—
Entries 30–50¢50% (won 100% of 5)24% (won 43% of 119)39% (won 100% of 88)—
Entries 50–70¢30% (won 100% of 3)14% (won 61% of 70)47% (won 100% of 108)—
Entries 70¢ and up10% (won 100% of 1)29% (won 95% of 142)7% (won 100% of 17)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketfantasy7788Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghightian888
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
—76ers $181Raptors $4.8K—
Raptors vs. 76ers: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $183Over $882—
Lima: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Gonzalo Bueno
opposite sides · consensus Joao Lucas Da Silva
—Gonzalo Bueno $346Joao Lucas Da Silva $95—
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
—76ers $64076ers $29K—
Raptors vs. 76ers: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $86Over $25K—
W50 Chihuahua: Malaika Rapolu vs Jessica Hinojosa Gomez
same side · consensus Jessica Hinojosa Gomez
—Malaika Rapolu $135Malaika Rapolu $300—