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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| donube | ndb1 | primm | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 70% (712–304, n=1016) | 63% (992–576, n=1568) | 50% (1114–1128, n=2242) | 50% (20888–20588, n=41476) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.1M | $3.2M | $3.6M | $3.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #193 + pinned | PM monthly #92 | PM monthly #49 | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 79% (130 of 164 open) | 70% (51 of 73 open) | no open consensus position | 68% (30 of 44 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Mentions −13 pts, n=20 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 71% of 941 at avg 70¢, ROI +4% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 22% (won 6% of 204) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 7% (won 99% of 2623) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 48% of 54) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 41% (won 99% of 412) | 21% (won 100% of 7839) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 6% (won 53% of 55) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 50% (won 99% of 503) | 22% (won 100% of 8452) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 67% (won 96% of 628) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 51% (won 100% of 19323) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | donube | ndb1 | primm | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $10 | No $53K | — | — |