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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| pIebe | ndb1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 70% (713–305, n=1018) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) | 50% (1116–1127, n=2243) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.1M | $4.8M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #198 + pinned | PM monthly #98 | PM monthly #51 |
| Sides with the consensus | 78% (128 of 164 open) | 73% (56 of 77 open) | 63% (17 of 27 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Mentions −13 pts, n=20 | NFL −9 pts, n=144 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 71% of 944 at avg 70¢, ROI +3% | 64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 22% (won 6% of 204) | 13% (won 15% of 186) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 47% of 55) | 19% (won 39% of 267) | 41% (won 99% of 418) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 6% (won 52% of 56) | 23% (won 58% of 326) | 49% (won 99% of 504) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 67% (won 96% of 629) | 44% (won 94% of 619) | 5% (won 100% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | pIebe | ndb1 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $10 | No $54K | — |