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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ch27erjoseph00677omnibus-076daaRN1
Record (consensus markets)60% (24–16, n=40)53% (10–9, n=19)50% (15178–15196, n=30374)47% (13369–14864, n=28233)
Consensus PnL$123K$5.6M$3.1M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #241PM monthly #3PM monthly #60PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 2 open)no open consensus position48% (55 of 114 open)61% (66 of 108 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +46 pts n=15, ROI +43%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won96% of 24 at avg 56¢, ROI +42%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢0%12% (won 0% of 2)8% (won 60% of 874)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢13% (won 100% of 3)6% (won 0% of 1)21% (won 87% of 2384)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢88% (won 95% of 21)65% (won 73% of 11)38% (won 95% of 4296)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up0%18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 99% of 3716)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketch27erjoseph00677omnibus-076daaRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.6KOver $1.5K
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
opposite sides · consensus Quentin Halys
——Tommy Paul $22Quentin Halys $1.3K
Heat vs. Clippers
same side · consensus Heat
Clippers $4.3K—Clippers $2.6K—
Taipei: Jake Delaney vs Omar Jasika
same side · consensus Jake Delaney
——Jake Delaney $193Jake Delaney $3.7K
Spread: Lakers (-11.5)
same side · consensus Kings
——Lakers $619Lakers $3
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $78Over $130
Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $28Under $151