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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ce1lvc9ew66Flaznorpjoseph00677ndb1
Record (consensus markets)80% (129–32, n=161)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)45% (10–12, n=22)64% (1097–630, n=1727)
Consensus PnL$18K$4.1M$5.3M$4.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #893PM monthly #11PM monthly #2PM monthly #97
Sides with the consensus100% (2 of 2 open)65% (135 of 207 open)100% (1 of 1 open)74% (113 of 153 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicEsports −1 pts, n=144Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—NFL −8 pts, n=147
Settled positions, side won30% of 152 at avg 30¢, ROI +1%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢52% (won 8% of 79)29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 14% of 187)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 33% of 40)16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)19% (won 39% of 269)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 73% of 26)15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)23% (won 57% of 328)
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 100% of 7)40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)44% (won 94% of 622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketce1lvc9ew66Flaznorpjoseph00677ndb1
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $120KYes $2.1M—
Crystal Palace FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $201—No $7.4K
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.7K—No $18K
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $28—No $115