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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| cay520 | ndb1 | omnibus-076daa | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (66–59, n=125) | 63% (993–576, n=1569) | 50% (15597–15691, n=31288) | 48% (14234–15729, n=29963) |
| Consensus PnL | -$417 | $4.8M | $3.1M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #671 | PM monthly #94 | PM monthly #140 | PM monthly #31 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 68% (52 of 76 open) | 57% (77 of 134 open) | 50% (12 of 24 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 95% of 61 at avg 63¢, ROI +46% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 2% (won 100% of 1) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 8% (won 60% of 874) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 15% (won 100% of 9) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 21% (won 87% of 2384) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 52% (won 94% of 32) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 38% (won 95% of 4296) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 95% of 19) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 99% of 3716) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | cay520 | ndb1 | omnibus-076daa | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $1.6K | Over $1.6K |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Maria Sakkari opposite sides · consensus Maria Sakkari | — | — | Maria Sakkari $1.2K | Aliaksandra Sasnovich $278 |
| W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini opposite sides · consensus Ipek Oz | — | — | Diletta Cherubini $8 | Ipek Oz $659 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $11K | Yes $4 | — |
| Taranto: Maxim Mrva vs Matteo Martineau same side · consensus Matteo Martineau | — | — | Matteo Martineau $813 | Matteo Martineau $4.6K |
| W50 Heraklion: Lucie Nguyen Tan vs Martha MATOULA same side · consensus Martha MATOULA | — | — | Martha MATOULA $17 | Martha MATOULA $1.8K |
| W50 Heraklion: Jennifer Ruggeri vs Nuria Brancaccio same side · consensus Nuria Brancaccio | — | — | Nuria Brancaccio $355 | Nuria Brancaccio $1.3K |
| M25 Valencia: Julio Cesar Porras vs Ivan Gakhov same side · consensus Ivan Gakhov | — | — | Ivan Gakhov $221 | Ivan Gakhov $241 |