PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
brteRN1BreakTheBankCORGII
Record (consensus markets)no settled market48% (11712–12496, n=24208)45% (501–606, n=1107)63% (376–222, n=598)
Consensus PnL—$13.4M$12.1M$4.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #953Hand-pickedPM monthly #1PM monthly #168
Sides with the consensus100% (16 of 16 open)62% (42 of 68 open)69% (24 of 35 open)60% (3 of 5 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=121, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=72, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=276, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 8 at avg 89¢, ROI +11%94% of 23809 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%98% of 379 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢0%10% (won 56% of 2460)10% (won 85% of 53)9% (won 91% of 35)
Entries 30–50¢0%22% (won 94% of 5335)35% (won 98% of 181)55% (won 99% of 209)
Entries 50–70¢0%36% (won 99% of 8653)34% (won 99% of 176)34% (won 100% of 128)
Entries 70¢ and up100% (won 100% of 8)31% (won 100% of 7361)20% (won 100% of 105)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketbrteRN1BreakTheBankCORGII
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage
opposite sides · consensus MOUZ
—Spirit $82K—MOUZ $28K
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K—Yes $34K—
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TYLOO (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage
opposite sides · consensus FURIA
—FURIA $20K—TYLOO $8.9K
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $10K—No $1.5K—
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.0K—Yes $2.8K—
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TYLOO - Map 2 Winner
opposite sides · consensus FURIA
—FURIA $1.2K—TYLOO $1.3K
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $3.9K—Yes $248K—
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
No $3.9K—No $36K—