PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
brteRN10x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241CORGII
Record (consensus markets)no settled market48% (11719–12501, n=24220)56% (100–79, n=179)63% (377–222, n=599)
Consensus PnL—$13.4M$3.5M$4.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #953Hand-pickedwas PM monthly #373PM monthly #168
Sides with the consensus100% (16 of 16 open)59% (41 of 69 open)no open consensus position60% (3 of 5 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 8 at avg 89¢, ROI +11%94% of 23809 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%98% of 379 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢0%10% (won 56% of 2460)7% (won 75% of 8)9% (won 91% of 35)
Entries 30–50¢0%22% (won 94% of 5335)26% (won 93% of 29)55% (won 99% of 209)
Entries 50–70¢0%36% (won 99% of 8653)42% (won 96% of 47)34% (won 100% of 128)
Entries 70¢ and up100% (won 100% of 8)31% (won 100% of 7361)24% (won 96% of 27)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketbrteRN10x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241CORGII
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage
opposite sides · consensus MOUZ
—Spirit $82K—MOUZ $60K
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus fnatic
—Astralis $2.6K—fnatic $23K
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TYLOO (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage
opposite sides · consensus FURIA
—FURIA $20K—TYLOO $4.0K
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TYLOO - Map 2 Winner
opposite sides · consensus FURIA
—FURIA $1.5K—TYLOO $740