Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
binaklBreakTheBankFlaznorp
Record (consensus markets)51% (44–42, n=86)56% (61–47, n=108)71% (3004–1251, n=4255)
Consensus PnL$26K$770K$519K
Tracked asPM monthly #863PM monthly #1PM monthly #9
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position50% (15 of 30 open)53% (127 of 240 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +48 pts n=37, ROI +45%
  • NFL +46 pts n=11, ROI +47%
Weakest topic——Soccer −1 pts, n=612
Settled positions, side won—100% of 58 at avg 53¢, ROI +44%41% of 1333 at avg 43¢, ROI −2%
Entries under 30¢—0%41% (won 6% of 540)
Entries 30–50¢—43% (won 100% of 25)24% (won 38% of 322)
Entries 50–70¢—52% (won 100% of 30)11% (won 62% of 152)
Entries 70¢ and up—5% (won 100% of 3)24% (won 94% of 319)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketbinaklBreakTheBankFlaznorp
Chiefs vs. Falcons
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $1.1MFalcons $55
Pacers vs. 76ers
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
—Pacers $27K76ers $4.7K
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Vikings
—Vikings $1.1MVikings $642
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $91KColts $56
49ers vs. Cowboys
same side · consensus 49ers
—Cowboys $85KCowboys $15