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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4primmRN1TKKnoallin
Record (consensus markets)no settled market50% (1082–1097, n=2179)47% (13369–14864, n=28233)59% (106–75, n=181)
Consensus PnL—$3.6M$14.8M$13K
Tracked as—PM monthly #48PM monthly #30 + pinnedPM monthly #961
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position67% (24 of 36 open)60% (231 of 382 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%66% of 149 at avg 52¢, ROI +11%
Entries under 30¢—5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2538)21% (won 28% of 32)
Entries 30–50¢—41% (won 99% of 405)22% (won 94% of 5565)19% (won 55% of 29)
Entries 50–70¢—49% (won 99% of 485)36% (won 99% of 9017)33% (won 76% of 49)
Entries 70¢ and up—5% (won 100% of 46)33% (won 100% of 8250)26% (won 92% of 39)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4primmRN1TKKnoallin
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
—Eastern Michigan $417Central Michigan $12K—
Spread: UMass (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ball State
—Ball State $3.4KUMass $700—
Spread: Toledo (-27.5)
opposite sides · consensus Toledo
—Toledo $2.2KSacramento State $800—
Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 49.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $797Over $2.1K—
Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 53.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.5KUnder $3—
Spread: Toledo (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State
—Toledo $1.7KSacramento State $765—
Spread: Central Michigan (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan
—Eastern Michigan $1.4KCentral Michigan $864—
Spread: UMass (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ball State
—Ball State $900UMass $845—
Spread: Central Michigan (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
—Eastern Michigan $984Central Michigan $513—
Spread: Toledo (-26.5)
opposite sides · consensus Toledo
—Toledo $1.0KSacramento State $463—
Ball State vs. UMass: O/U 37.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $924Under $298—
Spread: Toledo (-30.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State
—Toledo $243Sacramento State $462—
Spread: Toledo (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State
—Toledo $165Sacramento State $181—
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan: O/U 37.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $213Over $52—
Spread: Eastern Michigan (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan
—Eastern Michigan $161Central Michigan $49—
Spread: Central Michigan (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan
—Central Michigan $6Eastern Michigan $4—
Spread: Ball State (-2.5)
same side · consensus UMass
—UMass $2.7KUMass $804—
Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 51.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $2.6KOver $179—
Spread: Toledo (-13.5)
same side · consensus Sacramento State
—Toledo $1.5KToledo $519—
Spread: Toledo (-33.5)
same side · consensus Sacramento State
—Toledo $1.5KToledo $377—
Spread: Toledo (-20.5)
same side · consensus Toledo
—Toledo $438Toledo $773—
Spread: Toledo (-23.5)
same side · consensus Toledo
—Toledo $176Toledo $429—
Spread: Toledo (-9.5)
same side · consensus Toledo
—Toledo $2Toledo $531—