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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4duratio12FlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market51% (30–29, n=59)52% (6473–6009, n=12482)48% (14112–15590, n=29702)
Consensus PnL—$14K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked as—PM monthly #904PM monthly #23PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position33% (1 of 3 open)72% (89 of 124 open)50% (22 of 44 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won—89% of 61 at avg 55¢, ROI +5%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—15% (won 78% of 9)29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢—30% (won 78% of 18)16% (won 40% of 255)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢—31% (won 95% of 19)16% (won 62% of 260)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up—25% (won 100% of 15)39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

14 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4duratio12FlaznorpRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $13KOver $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $4.4KYes $1.9K
Will SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $4.4KYes $3
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $586Over $3.3K
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $3.1KNo $9
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3.1KYes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KOver $36
Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.8KYes $41
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $476Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $466No $529
Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $886Under $81
Rubio Nu vs. Sportivo Luqueno: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $451Over $230
Exact Score: SE Palmeiras 1 - 0 Clube do Remo?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $318No $359
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
——Heat $440Warriors $109
Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA Belgrano: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $141Over $69
Clube do Remo leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $25Yes $2
Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)
same side · consensus SE Palmeiras
——SE Palmeiras $21KSE Palmeiras $8.7K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $14KNo $2.5K
M25 Guadalajara: Blu Baker vs Rafael De Alba
same side · consensus Blu Baker
——Blu Baker $3.2KBlu Baker $294
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $702Under $20
Will CA Belgrano win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
——No $632No $63
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $8Under $323
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $138Yes $192
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $134Under $187
Spread: Warriors (-8.5)
same side · consensus Heat
——Warriors $174Warriors $97
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $97Under $156
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $176Under $42
Exact Score: SE Palmeiras 3 - 2 Clube do Remo?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $8Yes $77