PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4RN1omnibus-076daa0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241
Record (consensus markets)69% (43–19, n=62)48% (11709–12487, n=24196)50% (13205–13344, n=26549)56% (100–79, n=179)
Consensus PnL$5.8M$13.4M$3.4M$3.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #24Hand-pickedPM monthly #17was PM monthly #373
Sides with the consensus100% (2 of 2 open)58% (14 of 24 open)49% (17 of 35 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topicNBA −6 pts, n=91———
Settled positions, side won57% of 211 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%94% of 23809 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%91% of 10074 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 56% of 2460)8% (won 58% of 836)7% (won 75% of 8)
Entries 30–50¢29% (won 56% of 62)22% (won 94% of 5335)21% (won 85% of 2140)26% (won 93% of 29)
Entries 50–70¢54% (won 52% of 114)36% (won 99% of 8653)38% (won 94% of 3856)42% (won 96% of 47)
Entries 70¢ and up14% (won 86% of 29)31% (won 100% of 7361)32% (won 99% of 3242)24% (won 96% of 27)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4RN1omnibus-076daa0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241
Swiss Indoors Basel: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Arthur Fils
opposite sides · consensus Arthur Fils
—Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard $302Arthur Fils $7.7K—
Courmayeur: Gaia Maduzzi vs Linda Klimovicova
opposite sides · consensus Linda Klimovicova
—Linda Klimovicova $418Gaia Maduzzi $140—
Courmayeur: Mia Ristic vs Martyna Kubka
opposite sides · consensus Martyna Kubka
—Martyna Kubka $109Mia Ristic $2—
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)
same side · consensus MOUZ
—MOUZ $4.9KMOUZ $4—