Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4Ethanael02Flaznorpprimm
Record (consensus markets)no settled market65% (110–60, n=170)52% (6603–6153, n=12756)50% (1151–1158, n=2309)
Consensus PnL—$7.1K$3.7M$3.6M
Tracked as—PM monthly #576PM monthly #13PM monthly #47
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position0% (0 of 1 open)69% (270 of 393 open)71% (12 of 17 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Esports +23 pts n=34, ROI +25%
  • Soccer +20 pts n=29, ROI +12%
  • NBA +26 pts n=12, ROI +21%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—
Settled positions, side won—94% of 86 at avg 74¢, ROI +20%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢—0%29% (won 11% of 403)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢—8% (won 86% of 7)16% (won 38% of 228)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢—34% (won 93% of 29)15% (won 62% of 214)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up—58% (won 96% of 50)40% (won 94% of 553)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4Ethanael02Flaznorpprimm
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $6.6KNo $3.3K—
Western Kentucky vs. Middle Tennessee
same side · consensus Middle Tennessee
——Middle Tennessee $1.2KMiddle Tennessee $4.9K