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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4BreakTheBankRN1xxNyx
Record (consensus markets)no settled market46% (560–667, n=1227)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)85% (1290–235, n=1525)
Consensus PnL—$9.4M$14.8M$89K
Tracked as—PM monthly #2PM monthly #24 + pinnedHand-picked
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position60% (15 of 25 open)63% (177 of 282 open)83% (44 of 53 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topic———Tech −1 pts, n=56
Settled positions, side won—97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%81% of 1874 at avg 79¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 80% of 61)10% (won 57% of 2538)13% (won 9% of 252)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 203)22% (won 94% of 5565)5% (won 51% of 90)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 201)36% (won 99% of 9017)6% (won 57% of 109)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 115)33% (won 100% of 8250)76% (won 97% of 1423)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4BreakTheBankRN1xxNyx
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $64KYes $29K—
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $56KNo $148—
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.2KYes $111—
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $651KNo $6.5K—