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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4BreakTheBankFlaznorpMulticoloured-Serf
Record (consensus markets)no settled market45% (572–710, n=1282)52% (6509–6024, n=12533)47% (269–304, n=573)
Consensus PnL—$7.9M$3.6M-$102K
Tracked as—PM monthly #3PM monthly #19PM monthly #20
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position78% (25 of 32 open)75% (138 of 184 open)50% (13 of 26 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won—97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%100% of 215 at avg 52¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 465)0% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 255)47% (won 100% of 100)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 201)16% (won 62% of 260)47% (won 100% of 101)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 115)39% (won 94% of 637)6% (won 100% of 13)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4BreakTheBankFlaznorpMulticoloured-Serf
Jaguars vs. Ravens
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
—Ravens $88K—Jaguars $63K
Spread: Warriors (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Warriors
——Warriors $144Heat $4.5K
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $145Yes $14
Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
—Ravens $179K—Ravens $13
Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)
same side · consensus Clube do Remo
——SE Palmeiras $29KSE Palmeiras $2.9K
Canucks vs. Jets
same side · consensus Jets
——Canucks $325Canucks $28K
Bruins vs. Penguins
same side · consensus Penguins
——Penguins $5Penguins $20K
Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 40.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $186—Over $13K
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 235.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $425Over $575
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
same side · consensus Warriors
——Heat $444Heat $126
Spread: Warriors (-4.5)
same side · consensus Heat
——Heat $194Heat $253
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
same side · consensus Heat
——Heat $81Heat $188
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $4Under $13