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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| basedcigani | ferrariChampions2026 | joseph00677 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 62% (241–150, n=391) | 43% (11687–15248, n=26935) | 43% (10–13, n=23) | 48% (19424–21150, n=40574) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.1K | -$9.5M | $3.2M | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #87 | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #32 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 57% (4 of 7 open) | no open consensus position | 56% (18 of 32 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Tech −1 pts, n=10 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 73% of 457 at avg 72¢, ROI 0% | 100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 26% (won 7% of 120) | 4% (won 97% of 237) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 3% (won 67% of 15) | 26% (won 100% of 1446) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 3% (won 64% of 14) | 40% (won 100% of 2198) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 67% (won 100% of 308) | 30% (won 100% of 1675) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | basedcigani | ferrariChampions2026 | joseph00677 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.2K | — | Over $1.7K |
| WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula same side · consensus Coco Gauff | — | Coco Gauff $71K | — | Coco Gauff $56K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $1.3K | — | Over $360 |
| Matsuyama: Sho Katayama vs Shintaro Imai same side · consensus Shintaro Imai | — | Sho Katayama $75 | — | Sho Katayama $12 |