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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
auros2BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026RN1
Record (consensus markets)95% (38–2, n=40)41% (589–853, n=1442)43% (11687–15248, n=26935)48% (19424–21150, n=40574)
Consensus PnL$11K$8.4M-$9.5M$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #268PM monthly #1was PM monthly #87PM monthly #32 + pinned
Sides with the consensus63% (164 of 259 open)88% (29 of 33 open)70% (7 of 10 open)59% (17 of 29 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 82% of 60)4% (won 97% of 237)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢—36% (won 98% of 212)26% (won 100% of 1446)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 205)40% (won 100% of 2198)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 116)30% (won 100% of 1675)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketauros2BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026RN1
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $15Yes $24K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.2KOver $1.7K
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $2No $425K——
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $165Yes $306K——
Chennai Open: Janice Tjen vs Magda Linette
same side · consensus Janice Tjen
——Janice Tjen $21KJanice Tjen $14K
Matsuyama: Keisuke Saitoh vs Renta Tokuda
same side · consensus Keisuke Saitoh
——Keisuke Saitoh $38Keisuke Saitoh $13K
USC Trojans vs. Wichita State Shockers
same side · consensus USC Trojans
——USC Trojans $1.1KUSC Trojans $3.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $1.3KOver $360
Brisbane 3: Alafia Ayeni vs Edward Winter
same side · consensus Edward Winter
——Alafia Ayeni $110Alafia Ayeni $128