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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| appleperson | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 48% (446–481, n=927) | 59% (40–28, n=68) |
| Consensus PnL | $89 | $521K | $532K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #992 | PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #15 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (6 of 8 open) | 56% (47 of 84 open) | 50% (6 of 12 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 2 at avg 68¢, ROI +36% | 100% of 301 at avg 51¢, ROI +44% | 100% of 39 at avg 57¢, ROI +38% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 6% (won 100% of 19) | 3% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 37% (won 100% of 110) | 33% (won 100% of 13) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 50% (won 100% of 150) | 44% (won 100% of 17) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 7% (won 100% of 22) | 21% (won 100% of 8) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | appleperson | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thunder vs. Clippers opposite sides · consensus Thunder | — | Clippers $264 | Thunder $279K |
| Spread: Thunder (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Clippers | — | Clippers $877 | Thunder $8.7K |
| Warriors vs. Spurs same side · consensus Spurs | — | Warriors $241 | Warriors $2.3K |