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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
applepersonFlaznorpgoogleplayrobloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
Record (consensus markets)no settled market72% (1945–745, n=2690)50% (6–6, n=12)59% (40–28, n=68)
Consensus PnL$89$410K$423K$532K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #992PM monthly #14PM monthly #20PM monthly #15 + pinned
Sides with the consensus75% (6 of 8 open)55% (130 of 237 open)0% (0 of 1 open)50% (6 of 12 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
  • NBA +45 pts n=29, ROI +40%
Weakest topic—Soccer ±0 pts, n=381——
Settled positions, side won100% of 2 at avg 68¢, ROI +36%44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1%100% of 6 at avg 51¢, ROI +49%100% of 39 at avg 57¢, ROI +38%
Entries under 30¢0%40% (won 6% of 362)0%3% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢0%21% (won 43% of 192)17% (won 100% of 1)33% (won 100% of 13)
Entries 50–70¢50% (won 100% of 1)11% (won 64% of 103)83% (won 100% of 5)44% (won 100% of 17)
Entries 70¢ and up50% (won 100% of 1)27% (won 95% of 239)0%21% (won 100% of 8)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketapplepersonFlaznorpgoogleplayrobloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
Thunder vs. Clippers
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
—Clippers $1.4K—Thunder $279K
Spread: Rockets (-15.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $4.6KRockets $50K—
Warriors vs. Spurs
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $8.2K—Warriors $2.3K
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
—Clippers $515—Thunder $8.7K