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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
analdesutructorbeachboy4BreakTheBankprimm
Record (consensus markets)83% (187–39, n=226)no settled market46% (560–667, n=1227)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)
Consensus PnL-$56K—$9.4M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #566—PM monthly #1PM monthly #48
Sides with the consensus75% (3 of 4 open)no open consensus position62% (18 of 29 open)68% (17 of 25 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +47 pts n=30, ROI +49%
  • Esports +51 pts n=13, ROI +52%
  • MLB +33 pts n=55, ROI +32%
not computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won99% of 196 at avg 61¢, ROI +38%—97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢6% (won 100% of 11)—11% (won 80% of 61)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢30% (won 97% of 59)—35% (won 98% of 203)41% (won 99% of 405)
Entries 50–70¢24% (won 100% of 48)—35% (won 100% of 201)49% (won 99% of 485)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 100% of 78)—20% (won 100% of 115)5% (won 100% of 46)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketanaldesutructorbeachboy4BreakTheBankprimm
76ers vs. Pistons
same side · consensus Pistons
Pistons $6.5K—Pistons $204K—
Ball State vs. UMass
same side · consensus UMass
Ball State $1.2K——Ball State $17K
Hawks vs. Wizards
same side · consensus Hawks
Hawks $2.0K—Hawks $2.7K—