Consensus PnL -$60K · win rate 91% (159–15, n=174) · PM monthly #446 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$-59.6K
Record
159W / 15L
Win Rate
91.0%
of 174 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#239
Source
PM monthly #446
Record (90 d)
201/203 · 99%
Trades
186
Markets
271
Volume
$1.4M
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Specialties
194 settled consensus markets · held side won 99% at an average entry of 61¢- NFL
+47 pts
side won 100% of 30 · avg entry 53¢
ROI +49%
- Esports
+53 pts
side won 100% of 11 · avg entry 47¢
ROI +53%
- MLB
+33 pts
side won 100% of 55 · avg entry 67¢
ROI +32%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 6%(won 100% of 11)
- 30–50¢: 30%(won 97% of 59)
- 50–70¢: 24%(won 100% of 46)
- 70¢ and up: 40%(won 100% of 78)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.