PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ameisgoat11BreakTheBankRN1CORGII
Record (consensus markets)51% (1352–1282, n=2634)45% (502–616, n=1118)48% (11876–12683, n=24559)63% (379–225, n=604)
Consensus PnL$21K$11.1M$13.4M$4.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #627PM monthly #1PM monthly #16 + pinnedPM monthly #95
Sides with the consensus60% (24 of 40 open)70% (23 of 33 open)67% (4 of 6 open)0% (0 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=121, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=72, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=276, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 23822 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 385 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2463)9% (won 91% of 35)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 181)22% (won 94% of 5333)56% (won 99% of 214)
Entries 50–70¢—34% (won 99% of 176)36% (won 99% of 8660)34% (won 100% of 129)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 105)31% (won 100% of 7366)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketameisgoat11BreakTheBankRN1CORGII
Guangzhou Open: Harriet Dart vs Janice Tjen
opposite sides · consensus Janice Tjen
Janice Tjen $3—Harriet Dart $5.6K—
Pan Pacific Open: Alexandra Eala vs Talia Gibson
opposite sides · consensus Alexandra Eala
Alexandra Eala $7—Talia Gibson $2.2K—
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus PARIVISION
PARIVISION $4——Team Liquid $1.7K