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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| alfabetica | Flaznorp | ndb1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 65% (13–7, n=20) | 53% (7602–6859, n=14461) | 64% (1097–630, n=1727) | 49% (1224–1251, n=2475) |
| Consensus PnL | $35K | $4.1M | $4.8M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #631 | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #98 | PM monthly #52 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (3 of 3 open) | 70% (112 of 161 open) | 73% (111 of 152 open) | 56% (5 of 9 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 93% of 14 at avg 67¢, ROI +24% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 100% of 1) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 7% (won 100% of 1) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 41% (won 99% of 421) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 43% (won 83% of 6) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 49% (won 99% of 508) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 43% (won 100% of 6) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 5% (won 100% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | alfabetica | Flaznorp | ndb1 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jets vs. Chiefs opposite sides · consensus Chiefs | — | Jets $67 | — | Chiefs $21K |
| Lions vs. Dolphins opposite sides · consensus Lions | — | Dolphins $168 | — | Lions $14K |
| Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $1.3K | No $115 | — |
| Cowboys vs. Colts same side · consensus Cowboys | — | Colts $91 | — | Colts $4.9K |